Happy Valley · 2023-02-08 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-08 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. FLYING SILVER, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/4, with REACH GOAL second and HAPPY ANGEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite REACH GOAL finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly CP/TT 1.49.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | HAPPY ANGEL Closed strongly B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 8 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 9.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | HELENE ALLIBOR B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | LUCKY DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 12 | 36.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | HAPPY JAI JAI Led early TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 42.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 9 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | TYCOON JEWELLERY H/XB/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 47.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | CIRCUIT ELITE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 49.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | BLASTOISE K H Chan · A T Millard | K H Chan | A T Millard | 7 | 44.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING SILVER | 23.0% | 4.35 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY ANGEL | 18.0% | 5.55 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 15.0% | 6.66 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | REACH GOAL | 8.5% | 11.81 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 7.9% | 12.61 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 5.9% | 17.06 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 5.3% | 18.83 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 4.8% | 20.98 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 3.8% | 26.63 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | BLASTOISE | 2.8% | 35.18 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 2.6% | 38.36 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | TYCOON JEWELLERY | 2.4% | 40.99 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 36
PLACE
3 14.5
6 17
12 15.5
QUINELLA
3,12 96
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 34
3,12 38
6,12 37.5
FORECAST
3,12 188
TIERCE
3,12,6 603
TRIO
3,6,12 121
FIRST 4
3,6,9,12 137
QUARTET
3,12,6,9 2,130
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/3 159
12/12 31.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 20.5