Happy Valley · 2023-02-08 · 19:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PRIME MORTAR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with ALLGREEKTOME second and TELECOM SPEED third. The 1.5 favourite ALLGREEKTOME finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PRIME MORTAR CP/XB/TT 1.09.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | ALLGREEKTOME TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 1.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | TELECOM SPEED H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 4 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | GENERAL ACE CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 73.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | EAGLE RUN B-/SR1/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 70.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | SPICY GRILL B/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 10 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | CIRCUIT TEN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | CLASSIC POSH V1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 34.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | MAGIC TORONADO XB L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 9 | 131.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 12 | 43.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | LEATHER MASTER B1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 50.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 2 | FABULOUS EIGHT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PRIME MORTAR | 32.2% | 3.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | ALLGREEKTOME | 27.1% | 3.69 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | TELECOM SPEED | 12.5% | 7.99 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | CIRCUIT TEN | 10.3% | 9.73 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | SPICY GRILL | 4.2% | 23.80 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT | 4.1% | 24.35 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | LEATHER MASTER | 3.2% | 31.12 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | CLASSIC POSH | 2.1% | 48.30 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | GENERAL ACE | 1.7% | 57.52 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | EAGLE RUN | 1.6% | 63.05 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | MAGIC TORONADO | 1.0% | 98.05 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 35
PLACE
4 29
7 10.1
8 13
QUINELLA
7,8 22.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 33
4,8 46.5
7,8 14
FORECAST
8,7 69
TIERCE
8,7,4 357
TRIO
4,7,8 56
FIRST 4
4,7,8,11 380
QUARTET
8,7,4,11 3,929
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,12/4>2,7,8 794
2ND DOUBLE
3/2,7 10.5
3/8 75
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 11