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Happy Valley · 2023-02-08 · 19:46

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.27
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PRIME MORTAR CP/XB/TT 1.09.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K H Ting 2 3.5 3/4
2 0 ALLGREEKTOME TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 3 1.5 3/4
3 0 TELECOM SPEED H Bowman · Y S Tsui 4 16.0 3-1/4
4 0 GENERAL ACE CP C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 73.0 4-1/2
5 0 EAGLE RUN B-/SR1/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 1 70.0 5-1/2
6 0 SPICY GRILL B/TT A Badel · P C Ng 10 18.0 5-3/4
7 0 CIRCUIT TEN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 15.0 6-3/4
8 0 CLASSIC POSH V1 L Ferraris · D J Hall 6 34.0 7
9 0 MAGIC TORONADO XB L Hewitson · W Y So 9 131.0 7-1/4
10 0 MY INTELLIGENT TT M F Poon · L Ho 12 43.0 8-1/4
11 0 LEATHER MASTER B1 C L Chau · T P Yung 7 50.0 9-1/2
— 0 FABULOUS EIGHT A Hamelin · P F Yiu — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PRIME MORTAR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with ALLGREEKTOME second and TELECOM SPEED third. The 1.5 favourite ALLGREEKTOME finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PRIME MORTAR—2. ALLGREEKTOME+0.75L3. TELECOM SPEED+3.25L4. GENERAL ACE+4.5L5. EAGLE RUN+5.5L6. SPICY GRILL+5.75L7. CIRCUIT TEN+6.75L8. CLASSIC POSH+7L9. MAGIC TORONADO+7.25L10. MY INTELLIGENT+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick PRIME MORTAR (32.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PRIME MORTAR 32.2% 3.11 1
2 0 ALLGREEKTOME 27.1% 3.69 2
3 0 TELECOM SPEED 12.5% 7.99 3
4 0 CIRCUIT TEN 10.3% 9.73 7
5 0 SPICY GRILL 4.2% 23.80 6
6 0 MY INTELLIGENT 4.1% 24.35 10
7 0 LEATHER MASTER 3.2% 31.12 11
8 0 CLASSIC POSH 2.1% 48.30 8
9 0 GENERAL ACE 1.7% 57.52 4
10 0 EAGLE RUN 1.6% 63.05 5
11 0 MAGIC TORONADO 1.0% 98.05 9
PRIME MORTAR — wonALLGREEKTOMETELECOM SPEEDCIRCUIT TENSPICY GRILLMY INTELLIGENTLEATHER MASTERCLASSIC POSHGENERAL ACEEAGLE RUNMAGIC TORONADO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 35

PLACE

4 29

7 10.1

8 13

QUINELLA

7,8 22.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 33

4,8 46.5

7,8 14

FORECAST

8,7 69

TIERCE

8,7,4 357

TRIO

4,7,8 56

FIRST 4

4,7,8,11 380

QUARTET

8,7,4,11 3,929

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,12/4>2,7,8 794

2ND DOUBLE

3/2,7 10.5

3/8 75

3 PICK 1

A1 11

A3 —

A2 —