Happy Valley · 2023-02-08 · 22:53
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-08 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GORYTUS, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with ENCOUNTERED second and MAJESTIC VICTORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite ENCOUNTERED finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GORYTUS Closed strongly XB/TT 1.39.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 32.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | ENCOUNTERED B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 5 | 2.2 | N |
| 3 | 10 | MAJESTIC VICTORY Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SILVER HAMMER Closed strongly A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 30.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 2 | 8.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE E/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SIGHT SPIRIT Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 10 | 59.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | ALL BEAUTY C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SATIRICAL GLORY L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPER BABY Led early CP H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 11 | 59.0 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ENCOUNTERED | 26.1% | 3.83 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | ALL BEAUTY | 16.8% | 5.95 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 15.7% | 6.36 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | RISING FROM ASHES | 6.7% | 14.99 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 6.4% | 15.73 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 5.1% | 19.60 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | GORYTUS | 4.8% | 20.73 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPER BABY | 4.6% | 21.57 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | VIVA CHALEUR | 4.6% | 21.61 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 4.3% | 23.53 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | TOTAL POWER | 3.4% | 29.40 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | SILVER HAMMER | 1.5% | 66.20 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 323
PLACE
1 62.5
3 12.5
10 27.5
QUINELLA
1,3 368
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 130
1,10 341.5
3,10 51.5
FORECAST
1,3 1,188
TIERCE
1,3,10 13,664
TRIO
1,3,10 867
FIRST 4
1,3,10,11 5,462
QUARTET
1,3,10,11 174,927
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 35
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,12/1,3,10 116,813
8TH DOUBLE
12/1 1,093
12/3 35.5
SIX UP
3,6/4,12/9,10/4,9/10,12/1,3 33,746
3/12/10/4/12/1 6,398,626
3 [K W Lui] —
3 [H Bowman] —
TREBLE
4/12/1 5,322
4/12/3 177