Happy Valley · 2023-02-08 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-08 was Class 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ASTROLOGER, ridden by A Badel and trained by P C Ng, won by 2, with GRATEFUL HEART second and REWARDING TOGETHER third. The 3.1 favourite REWARDING TOGETHER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ASTROLOGER SR 1.09.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 6 | 3.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | NERVOUS WITNESS XB H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 7 | 6.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | FAMILY FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 4 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 6.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | HANDSOME BO BO TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | COMPUTER PATCH CP/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 12 | 76.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 17.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | HARMONY AND RICH M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 47.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | KURPANY TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 21.0 | 14 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 25.4% | 3.94 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY | 11.0% | 9.09 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 10.6% | 9.41 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | HANDSOME BO BO | 10.5% | 9.57 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | CAMPIONE | 9.7% | 10.31 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | GRATEFUL HEART | 6.6% | 15.21 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | FAMILY FOLKS | 6.3% | 15.83 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | KEEP YOU WARM | 6.2% | 16.11 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | ASTROLOGER | 5.2% | 19.30 | 1 |
| 10 | 2 | KURPANY | 3.0% | 33.82 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | COMPUTER PATCH | 2.9% | 34.84 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | HARMONY AND RICH | 2.7% | 36.68 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 53
PLACE
5 13.5
10 69.5
12 19.5
QUINELLA
10,12 752
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 167.5
5,12 44
10,12 207
FORECAST
12,10 1,261
TIERCE
12,10,5 7,189
TRIO
5,10,12 668
FIRST 4
5,7,10,12 2,269
QUARTET
12,10,5,7 64,043
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 25.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/10 240.5
4/12 230.5