Happy Valley · 2023-02-08 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-08 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SPEEDY MOUSE, ridden by V Borges and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with XPONENTIAL second and BEAUTY TYCOON third. The 3.0 favourite STREET SCREAM finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SPEEDY MOUSE 1.09.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 2 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | XPONENTIAL B/TT S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | 7 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | BEAUTY TYCOON H/P Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | STREET SCREAM B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 5.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | STAR BRITE CP/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 1 | 8.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | BEAUTY GLORY H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 8 | 48.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON TT L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 9 | 87.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | YEABOI B1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 77.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | HUMBLE STAR SR/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 11 | 8.6 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | KING LAND C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 17.0 | 27-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 25.9% | 3.87 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 17.9% | 5.58 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | STREET SCREAM | 15.0% | 6.66 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | XPONENTIAL | 8.4% | 11.86 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | STAR BRITE | 8.3% | 12.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | HUMBLE STAR | 7.5% | 13.37 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | KING LAND | 6.7% | 14.88 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 4.7% | 21.40 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | BEAUTY GLORY | 2.6% | 38.25 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON | 2.2% | 46.40 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | YEABOI | 0.8% | 121.74 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 135.5
PLACE
3 22.5
9 23
10 37.5
QUINELLA
9,10 482.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 80
3,10 143.5
9,10 140
FORECAST
10,9 1,343
TIERCE
10,9,3 8,240
TRIO
3,9,10 712
FIRST 4
1,3,9,10 749
QUARTET
10,9,3,1 27,884
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 27
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
12/9 69.5
12/10 1,360