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Happy Valley · 2023-03-01 · 19:47

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 10 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 HAPPY TRIO SR-/B2 K Teetan · D J Whyte 8 8.6 1-1/4
3 0 SUPER EAGLE H-/XB1 C L Chau · D A Hayes 4 31.0 4
4 0 LUCKY GOLD B C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 4.9 4-1/4
5 0 FLYING SWORD B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 10 47.0 5
6 0 LORIZ B M Chadwick · P F Yiu 9 10.0 5-1/2
7 0 ACE TALENT H/TT K H Chan · C Fownes 12 16.0 5-3/4
8 0 H Z TOURBILLON TT M F Poon · C S Shum 6 10.0 7
9 0 AMAZING TRAVIS H1/TT1 A Hamelin · W Y So 7 129.0 8-1/4
10 0 SUPER DOBBIN B S De Sousa · A T Millard 11 60.0 9-1/2
11 0 CROWN OF STAR XB1/TT1 L Hewitson · J Richards 3 19.0 10
— 0 A AMERIC TE SPECSO Z Purton · J Size — 1.9 1-1/4
— 0 SPICY SO SMART H Bentley · P C Ng — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TRIO, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/4, with SUPER EAGLE second and LUCKY GOLD third. The 1.9 favourite A AMERIC TE SPECSO did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. HAPPY TRIO+1.25L3. SUPER EAGLE+4L4. LUCKY GOLD+4.25L5. FLYING SWORD+5L6. LORIZ+5.5L7. ACE TALENT+5.75L8. H Z TOURBILLON+7L9. AMAZING TRAVIS+8.25L10. SUPER DOBBIN+9.5L11. CROWN OF STAR+10L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 A AMERIC TE SPECSO 30.7% 3.26 —
2 0 LUCKY GOLD 23.7% 4.22 4
3 0 HAPPY TRIO 9.9% 10.06 2
4 0 LORIZ 8.2% 12.13 6
5 0 H Z TOURBILLON 6.0% 16.80 8
6 0 ACE TALENT 5.6% 17.93 7
7 0 CROWN OF STAR 4.9% 20.45 11
8 0 FLYING SWORD 3.5% 28.90 5
9 0 SUPER DOBBIN 2.7% 36.50 10
10 0 SUPER EAGLE 2.4% 41.33 3
11 0 AMAZING TRAVIS 2.3% 42.67 9
A AMERIC TE SPECSOLUCKY GOLDHAPPY TRIOLORIZH Z TOURBILLONACE TALENTCROWN OF STARFLYING SWORDSUPER DOBBINSUPER EAGLEAMAZING TRAVIS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 19.5

PLACE

7 57

9 11

12 21

QUINELLA

9,12 78

QUINELLA PLACE

7,9 96.5

7,12 228

9,12 33.5

FORECAST

9,12 126

TIERCE

9,12,7 1,716

TRIO

7,9,12 467

FIRST 4

2,7,9,12 399

QUARTET

9,12,7,2 6,985

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,9,12/7,12>8,9 67,123

2ND DOUBLE

1/8,9 461.5

1/12 180

3 PICK 1

A1 16.5

A3 —

A2 —