Happy Valley · 2023-03-01 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-01 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. STAR CONTACT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with HAPPY DAILY second and EXCEPTIONAL NICE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT 1.40.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 2 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE Closed strongly E/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 29.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | RED MAJESTY Led early B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | LESLIE Closed strongly B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | MAJESTIC VICTORY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | GALLANT WAKING Closed strongly XB S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 9 | 8.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | CASA COSMO B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 4.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 5.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 4 | 41.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CASA COSMO | 17.8% | 5.63 | 9 |
| 2 | 11 | STAR CONTACT | 13.0% | 7.69 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | LESLIE | 11.8% | 8.45 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | GALLANT WAKING | 9.9% | 10.12 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | HAPPY DAILY | 9.4% | 10.64 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 8.6% | 11.67 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 8.3% | 12.08 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | ALL BEAUTY | 6.3% | 15.97 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | STORM LEGEND | 6.0% | 16.62 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | ZONE D | 3.9% | 25.36 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | RED MAJESTY | 3.3% | 30.70 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.8% | 55.45 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 42
PLACE
6 30.5
8 44
11 16.5
QUINELLA
6,11 108.5
8,11 179.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 212
6,11 71.5
8,11 117.5
FORECAST
11,6 231
11,8 268
TIERCE
11,6,8 2,408
11,8,6 2,146
TRIO
6,8,11 833
FIRST 4
4,6,8,11 5,894
QUARTET
11,6,8,4 50,245
11,8,6,4 38,629
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 22.5
7TH DOUBLE
4/6 499
4/8 488
4/11 3,142