Happy Valley · 2023-03-01 · 20:46
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SNOWALOT, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D A Hayes, won by HD, with RIGHTEOUS ARION second and TELECOM SPEED third. The 3.4 favourite RIGHTEOUS ARION finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SNOWALOT B 1.09.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.8 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.4 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | TELECOM SPEED S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 2 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | FURTHER FORWARD TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | WOOD ON FIRE V-/H2/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 1 | 6.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | TRAVEL GOLF SR-/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 136.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | FLAMING PASSION TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | NOBLE ACE B-/H- L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 3 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | JOY COMING TT1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 5.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | ISLAND SHINE R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 5 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB Y L Chung · D J Hall | Y L Chung | D J Hall | 11 | 32.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 4 | 43.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JOY COMING | 21.7% | 4.62 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 20.4% | 4.90 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | TELECOM SPEED | 16.0% | 6.25 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | SNOWALOT | 10.0% | 10.00 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | WOOD ON FIRE | 7.6% | 13.17 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | MELBOURNE HALL | 6.0% | 16.55 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | FLAMING PASSION | 5.1% | 19.58 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | ISLAND SHINE | 5.1% | 19.67 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | FURTHER FORWARD | 4.1% | 24.53 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 1.8% | 54.34 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | NOBLE ACE | 1.3% | 77.93 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | TRAVEL GOLF | 0.9% | 111.39 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 68.5
PLACE
1 15
2 23
10 22.5
QUINELLA
1,10 125
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 49
1,10 50
2,10 85
FORECAST
10,1 371
TIERCE
10,1,2 1,893
TRIO
1,2,10 241
FIRST 4
1,2,5,10 660
QUARTET
10,1,2,5 16,409
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/1,2,10 30,282
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 27.5
4TH DOUBLE
8/1 32
8/10 423.5