Happy Valley · 2023-03-01 · 21:18
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HOSS XB/TT 1.09.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 11 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 2 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | MODEST GENTLEMAN P/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 5 | 34.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HERCULES B2/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 4 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | FORTUNE CARRIER B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KING ECCELLENTE CP/H/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 8 | 5.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR CP/XB A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 3 | 43.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MIRACLES B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 1 | 5.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FINGERS CROSSED TT K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 12 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 114.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | TRAVEL GUIDE XB1 L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 9 | 75.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | JAZZ WITH DRAGON L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 10 | 62.0 | 12-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HOSS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 1-1/4, with VICTORY SCHOLARS second and MODEST GENTLEMAN third. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 23.4% | 4.27 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HOSS | 22.3% | 4.48 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | KING ECCELLENTE | 16.3% | 6.12 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | MIRACLES | 13.7% | 7.28 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 6.2% | 16.00 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | FINGERS CROSSED | 6.1% | 16.41 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 3.2% | 30.97 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | TRAVEL GUIDE | 3.1% | 32.14 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | JAZZ WITH DRAGON | 1.8% | 55.88 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 1.7% | 60.54 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | HERCULES | 1.3% | 77.22 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN | 0.8% | 123.58 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 33
PLACE
2 16
3 18
10 74.5
QUINELLA
2,3 93.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 40
2,10 226
3,10 254
FORECAST
2,3 201
TIERCE
2,3,10 5,137
TRIO
2,3,10 1,065
FIRST 4
2,3,6,10 4,027
QUARTET
2,3,10,6 49,054
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 23.5
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
10/2 391
10/3 66