Happy Valley · 2023-03-01 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT 2.18.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 32.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 4 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly TT2 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 12 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL B-/V1/TT1 Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 7 | 7.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | AI ONE Led early H/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 5 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FOREVER GLORIOUS B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 9.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | DEAR SIBLING B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 45.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY B/H/TT V Borges · P C Ng | V Borges | P C Ng | 11 | 19.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.9 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BLASTOISE L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 10 | 38.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-01 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. REACH GOAL, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with REGENCY MASTER second and MANAGEMENT FOLKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WONDER YEARS | 20.1% | 4.98 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | REACH GOAL | 17.3% | 5.77 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 16.0% | 6.24 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 15.5% | 6.43 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL | 8.0% | 12.52 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | VINCY | 5.2% | 19.29 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 4.7% | 21.37 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 3.9% | 25.85 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | AI ONE | 3.8% | 26.60 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 3.4% | 29.00 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 1.2% | 83.99 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | DEAR SIBLING | 0.9% | 112.54 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 39
PLACE
7 17
8 16.5
9 73.5
QUINELLA
8,9 714
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 44
7,9 193
8,9 209
FORECAST
8,9 1,506
TIERCE
8,9,7 7,872
TRIO
7,8,9 834
FIRST 4
7,8,9,12 3,032
QUARTET
8,9,7,12 83,087
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 20
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
8,9/8 107.5
8,9/9 135