Happy Valley · 2023-03-01 · 21:48
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-01 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. ATOMIC FORCE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with SEASONS WIT second and GORGEOUS VITALITY third. The 2.6 favourite CALIFORNIA DEEPLY finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ATOMIC FORCE TT- 0.56.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 9 | 25.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | SEASONS WIT TT1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 3.5 | N |
| 3 | 7 | GORGEOUS VITALITY C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 6 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | 11 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | AMAZING ROCKY C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 8 | 39.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 12 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | SPECIAL M PC/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 5 | 35.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | THE EQUALIZER TT1 H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 107.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 26.6% | 3.76 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 16.2% | 6.18 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | SEASONS WIT | 13.1% | 7.64 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | SPECIAL M | 9.3% | 10.72 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | AMAZING ROCKY | 7.2% | 13.86 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 5.9% | 17.00 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | HARMONY FIRE | 4.6% | 21.73 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 4.3% | 23.05 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER COMMANDER | 4.2% | 23.64 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 3.6% | 28.14 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | ATOMIC FORCE | 3.3% | 30.67 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | THE EQUALIZER | 1.7% | 59.26 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 250
PLACE
4 72
7 19.5
9 18
QUINELLA
4,9 916.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 332.5
4,9 294.5
7,9 52
FORECAST
4,9 3,345
TIERCE
4,9,7 16,331
TRIO
4,7,9 1,490
FIRST 4
4,5,7,9 6,788
QUARTET
4,9,7,5 243,508
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 34.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,10/4,7,9 241,565
6TH DOUBLE
2/4 1,999.5
2/9 17.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,10/2,3,10/4,7,9 2,195,996
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,10/2,3,10/Any Combination 2,876