Sha Tin · 2023-03-11 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR Closed strongly B 1.22.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 2 | 5.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly V/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 5 | 2.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY Closed strongly B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 1 | 25.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON H/P C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 7 | 7.7 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H/TT L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 10 | 44.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 14 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 9.6 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD Closed strongly M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 40.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIDE OF DRAGON Led early TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 62.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SMILING MOON B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 108.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | LE PLUS VITE Closed strongly PC/XB/H1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 13 | 66.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 38.0 | 13 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-11 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SPEEDSTAR, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with ASIAN ONE second and TRAVEL GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite ASIAN ONE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 25.2% | 3.97 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR | 16.8% | 5.94 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA | 13.0% | 7.67 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON | 8.6% | 11.59 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN | 6.9% | 14.40 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 4.8% | 21.05 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 4.5% | 22.16 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 4.0% | 25.22 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 3.8% | 26.22 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY | 3.6% | 27.85 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | LE PLUS VITE | 3.6% | 28.01 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 2.2% | 44.49 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR | 1.7% | 58.78 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | SMILING MOON | 1.2% | 81.11 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 59.5
PLACE
1 16.5
2 12
14 52
QUINELLA
1,2 50
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 23.5
1,14 212
2,14 103
FORECAST
1,2 127
TIERCE
1,2,14 1,977
TRIO
1,2,14 465
FIRST 4
1,2,5,14 534
QUARTET
1,2,14,5 10,383
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 15
A2 —