Sha Tin · 2023-03-11 · 14:02
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-11 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. RUN RUN COOL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with NICCONI COUNTY second and CALIFORNIA VANES third. The 2.2 favourite JUNEAU FLASH finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RUN RUN COOL PC 0.56.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | NICCONI COUNTY TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | LIKE THAT V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 35.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | TALENTS SUPREMO XB A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 4 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SCOTCH TYCOON M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 9 | 51.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | SHOW RESPECT SR1/XB1/TT1 C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 1 | 31.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | JUNEAU FLASH K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 2.2 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | JADE PHOENIX CP/TT V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 3 | 31.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | LEAN MASTER TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 7 | 124.0 | 5-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | JUNEAU FLASH | 34.2% | 2.92 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | RUN RUN COOL | 17.8% | 5.61 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | NICCONI COUNTY | 9.7% | 10.26 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | JADE PHOENIX | 9.0% | 11.08 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 7.9% | 12.68 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | SHOW RESPECT | 5.9% | 16.92 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | LIKE THAT | 5.3% | 18.87 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | TEAM SPIRIT | 3.5% | 28.62 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 3.2% | 31.28 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 2.5% | 40.00 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | LEAN MASTER | 0.9% | 110.16 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 41.5
PLACE
2 15.5
3 24.5
5 26.5
QUINELLA
2,3 200.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 63.5
2,5 63
3,5 120
FORECAST
2,3 292
TIERCE
2,3,5 2,116
TRIO
2,3,5 480
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 1,480
QUARTET
2,3,5,6 18,650
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/2 594
7/3 147
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A3 —
A2 —