Sha Tin · 2023-03-11 · 15:03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-11 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. WINNING STEPS, ridden by A Badel and trained by P C Ng, won by HD, with GO GO SIXTEEN second and FLYING MOJITO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite FLYING MOJITO finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC 1.48.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 7 | 11.0 | HD |
| 2 | 12 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 12 | 5.9 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly CP/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 6 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly H Bowman · A T Millard | H Bowman | A T Millard | 11 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | VINCY Closed strongly SR2/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 3 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | AMAZING TEENS Led early P-/H/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 10 | 37.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 2 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 13 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | BOOM ALLIANCE SR/XB/TT C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 4 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | LOOKING COOL PC- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | FUNCTION PATCH H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 1 | 79.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FLYING MOJITO | 26.0% | 3.84 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | GOLD TACK | 13.8% | 7.23 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | FUNCTION PATCH | 7.6% | 13.24 | 13 |
| 4 | 11 | VINCY | 7.4% | 13.47 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 7.0% | 14.25 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | AMAZING TEENS | 6.6% | 15.20 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 6.3% | 15.85 | 11 |
| 8 | 13 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 5.5% | 18.27 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | WINNING STEPS | 4.5% | 22.30 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | PALACE PAL | 4.5% | 22.44 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 4.0% | 24.70 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | KYRUS UNICORN | 3.5% | 28.21 | 9 |
| 13 | 1 | LOOKING COOL | 3.2% | 30.97 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 112
PLACE
4 14.5
10 33.5
12 21
QUINELLA
10,12 433
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 91
4,12 43
10,12 143.5
FORECAST
10,12 725
TIERCE
10,12,4 2,854
TRIO
4,10,12 539
FIRST 4
4,9,10,12 973
QUARTET
10,12,4,9 25,720
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 30.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
14/10 382
14/12 77