Sha Tin · 2023-03-11 · 17:48
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-11 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN EXPRESS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-3/4, with WONDER KIT second and SUPER FORTUNE third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GOLDEN EXPRESS 1.08.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 2.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | WONDER KIT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | DREAM PURSUER V1 K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 4 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | HAPPY MISSION H/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SPEEDY MOUSE V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 7 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | TATTENHAM P1 M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 6 | 150.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | DIAMOND FLARE B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 3 | 133.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | DRAGON'S LUCK H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 3.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | PHOENIX LIGHT H A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 10 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | DIVINE SHINING XB/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 9 | 228.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 12 | 62.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GOLDEN EXPRESS | 33.3% | 3.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | DRAGON'S LUCK | 24.3% | 4.11 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | WONDER KIT | 10.0% | 9.97 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE | 8.2% | 12.18 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | DREAM PURSUER | 5.8% | 17.31 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 4.7% | 21.16 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY MISSION | 4.3% | 23.43 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 3.8% | 26.03 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 3.0% | 33.72 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | DIVINE SHINING | 0.9% | 110.89 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | TATTENHAM | 0.9% | 116.91 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | DIAMOND FLARE | 0.8% | 122.04 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 20
PLACE
2 25
6 10.5
10 30
QUINELLA
6,10 111
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 42.5
2,10 130.5
6,10 43.5
FORECAST
6,10 193
TIERCE
6,10,2 962
TRIO
2,6,10 347
FIRST 4
2,6,10,11 589
QUARTET
6,10,2,11 6,442
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 12
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,5/2,6,10 3,708
9TH DOUBLE
1/6 43
1/10 65.5
SIX UP
10/1/3/6/1/6 63,712
10,12/1,14/2,3/4,6/1,5/6,10 4,770
6 [F C Lor] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
6/1/6 422
6/1/10 555