Sha Tin · 2023-03-11 · 17:13
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED LION Closed strongly 1.21.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 2.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 13 | 131.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL RICHES Led early CP-/V1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 6.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | THESIS CP/TT H Bowman · R Gibson | H Bowman | R Gibson | 9 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO XB/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 14 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 1 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY CP-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 147.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 11 | 217.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SINGAPORE SUNSHINE BO/XB H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 2 | 112.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | PEGASUS HERO H- V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 3 | 227.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SETANTA B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | — | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | — | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-11 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. RED LION, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with CAPITAL LEGEND second and TAJ DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED LION | 33.3% | 3.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 10.3% | 9.69 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SETANTA | 10.1% | 9.87 | — |
| 4 | 0 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 8.6% | 11.67 | — |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO | 8.4% | 11.86 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL RICHES | 7.8% | 12.82 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | MALDIVES | 7.3% | 13.75 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | THESIS | 3.8% | 26.04 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC | 2.9% | 34.70 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 2.2% | 46.19 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON | 1.8% | 54.61 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | SINGAPORE SUNSHINE | 1.3% | 75.09 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | PEGASUS HERO | 1.1% | 87.17 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 1.0% | 101.38 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 24
PLACE
1 12
2 28
5 14.5
QUINELLA
1,5 51
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 47.5
1,5 25.5
2,5 87.5
FORECAST
1,5 97
TIERCE
1,5,2 481
TRIO
1,2,5 149
FIRST 4
1,2,5,14 2,303
QUARTET
1,5,2,14 20,052
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14.5
8TH DOUBLE
6/1 216
6/5 67.5