Sha Tin · 2023-03-11 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY GOLF, ridden by H Bowman and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with EASY SNIP second and MODULECONSTRUCTION third. The 1.7 favourite LASER VICTORY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HAPPY GOLF TT- 1.09.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 2 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | EASY SNIP B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 9.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | MODULECONSTRUCTION H-/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | STARRY NIGHT B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | RED HARE KING TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 32.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | LASER VICTORY TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 1.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SPEED FAY FAY B H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 8 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | WATCH BUDDY A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 5 | 58.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 44.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | GLENEALY GENERALS B/XB R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 12 | 80.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | FLYING GALLOP TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 157.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | MOON CATCHER H1/P1/TT1 M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 51.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LASER VICTORY | 41.9% | 2.38 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 16.4% | 6.10 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | STARRY NIGHT | 9.7% | 10.26 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | EASY SNIP | 7.0% | 14.32 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | HAPPY GOLF | 5.4% | 18.56 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | SPEED FAY FAY | 5.1% | 19.51 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | WATCH BUDDY | 3.5% | 28.29 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | RED HARE KING | 3.3% | 30.28 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | MOON CATCHER | 3.2% | 31.46 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 2.0% | 49.30 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 1.8% | 56.35 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | FLYING GALLOP | 0.6% | 165.23 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 112
PLACE
3 15.5
7 26
8 21.5
QUINELLA
7,8 431
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 62
3,8 48
7,8 99
FORECAST
7,8 1,151
TIERCE
7,8,3 3,432
TRIO
3,7,8 477
FIRST 4
3,7,8,12 888
QUARTET
7,8,3,12 21,509
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/7 536
1/8 75.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,14/3,7,8 34,787
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 41.5
A3 —