Sha Tin · 2023-03-11 · 16:06
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-11 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT STELLAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-3/4, with FANTASTIC TREASURE second and AMAZING VICTORY third. The winner led throughout. The 2.5 favourite AMAZING VICTORY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Wire to wire H/TT 1.21.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | AMAZING VICTORY H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 1 | 2.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | MR ASCENDENCY CP C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | WINNER METHOD TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 9.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | THE ROCK H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 3 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | BOURBONAIRE H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 30.0 | 5-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 40.9% | 2.45 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | AMAZING VICTORY | 14.9% | 6.73 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 9.8% | 10.16 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 9.8% | 10.16 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | MR ASCENDENCY | 7.4% | 13.43 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | WINNER METHOD | 6.5% | 15.28 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 4.7% | 21.41 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | THE ROCK | 3.1% | 32.54 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | BOURBONAIRE | 2.9% | 35.07 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 39.5
PLACE
2 28.5
3 16
9 13
QUINELLA
2,3 241
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 80
2,9 57.5
3,9 26
FORECAST
3,2 432
TIERCE
3,2,9 1,732
TRIO
2,3,9 172
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 244
QUARTET
3,2,9,1 6,130
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15.5
6TH DOUBLE
1/2 116
1/3 353.5