Happy Valley · 2023-04-06 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION Closed strongly TT 2.17.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 6.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | AI ONE Closed strongly H/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 9.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Closed strongly CP M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 8.1 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 9 | 5.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CABLE SPEED Led early TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 2 | 2.7 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 5 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER B/XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 6 | 29.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 34.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 30.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JUBILATION V K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 7.9 | 17-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-06 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. LOYAL AMBITION, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with AI ONE second and LUCKY MISSILE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite CABLE SPEED finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CABLE SPEED | 33.0% | 3.03 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 13.4% | 7.45 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 9.6% | 10.41 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | AI ONE | 9.4% | 10.61 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK | 8.4% | 11.91 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | JUBILATION | 8.1% | 12.31 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 5.9% | 17.08 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 5.0% | 19.92 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 3.6% | 27.63 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 3.5% | 28.67 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 68.5
PLACE
1 34.5
3 28.5
5 17.5
QUINELLA
1,5 400.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 162
1,5 118.5
3,5 92.5
FORECAST
5,1 856
TIERCE
5,1,3 5,670
TRIO
1,3,5 940
FIRST 4
1,3,5,8 945
QUARTET
5,1,3,8 26,637
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19.5
A3 —