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Happy Valley · 2023-04-06 · 19:46

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GANG OF BROTHERS, ridden by A Badel and trained by P C Ng, won by 1/2, with V CHEVALIERS second and PEAK TO PEAK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite V CHEVALIERS finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.40.58
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 GANG OF BROTHERS Closed strongly CP/TT 1.40.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P C Ng 1 7.7 1/2
2 8 V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man 3 3.7 1/2
3 9 PEAK TO PEAK Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 9 23.0 2-1/4
4 1 READY PLAYER ONE B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards 6 3.9 2-1/4
5 6 TELECOM CHEETAH Closed strongly B/XB1/TT H Bentley · C H Yip 8 29.0 2-1/2
6 2 FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes 12 24.0 3-1/4
7 5 RIVER VIEWS Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung 11 11.0 3-1/4
8 12 PACKING MONKEYKING TT M F Poon · L Ho 2 7.9 4-1/4
9 4 BABY B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 4 10.0 4-1/2
10 10 SUPER BUDDY B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 7 73.0 6-1/4
11 11 BELL OF HAPPINESS Closed strongly H/TT C Wong · C W Chang 5 87.0 8
12 7 KING OF THE COURT Led early B L Hewitson · D J Whyte 10 9.6 14

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GANG OF BROTHERS2. V CHEVALIERS+0.5L3. PEAK TO PEAK+2.25L4. READY PLAYER ONE+2.25L5. TELECOM CHEETAH+2.5L6. FEARLESS FIRE+3.25L7. RIVER VIEWS+3.25L8. PACKING MONKEYKING+4.25L9. BABY+4.5L10. SUPER BUDDY+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick READY PLAYER ONE (25.1%) finished 4th — the winner GANG OF BROTHERS was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 READY PLAYER ONE 25.1% 3.98 4
2 3 GANG OF BROTHERS 15.7% 6.37 1
3 8 V CHEVALIERS 14.0% 7.14 2
4 7 KING OF THE COURT 8.8% 11.41 12
5 5 RIVER VIEWS 8.7% 11.53 7
6 4 BABY 6.4% 15.60 9
7 2 FEARLESS FIRE 5.7% 17.56 6
8 12 PACKING MONKEYKING 4.7% 21.38 8
9 6 TELECOM CHEETAH 4.2% 23.64 5
10 9 PEAK TO PEAK 3.9% 25.85 3
11 10 SUPER BUDDY 1.7% 59.41 10
12 11 BELL OF HAPPINESS 1.2% 84.32 11
READY PLAYER ONEGANG OF BROTHERS — wonV CHEVALIERSKING OF THE COURTRIVER VIEWSBABYFEARLESS FIREPACKING MONKEYKINGTELECOM CHEETAHPEAK TO PEAKSUPER BUDDYBELL OF HAPPINESS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 77

PLACE

3 21.5

8 15

9 60

QUINELLA

3,8 155

QUINELLA PLACE

3,8 57.5

3,9 258.5

8,9 195

FORECAST

3,8 346

TIERCE

3,8,9 6,701

TRIO

3,8,9 1,185

FIRST 4

1,3,8,9 905

QUARTET

3,8,9,1 23,356

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

6,8,11/3,8,9 81,329

2ND DOUBLE

6/3 2,005

6/8 290

3 PICK 1

A2

A3 28

A1