Happy Valley · 2023-04-06 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.40.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 2.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MEANINGFUL STAR Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | STAR CONTACT Led early CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | C P BRAVE CP/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 31.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PACKING SUCCEEDER M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 7 | 4.6 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS S De Sousa · J Richards | S De Sousa | J Richards | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ZONE D, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with MEANINGFUL STAR second and STAR CONTACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ZONE D | 24.5% | 4.07 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 16.1% | 6.23 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 12.7% | 7.85 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | PACKING SUCCEEDER | 11.9% | 8.39 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 10.9% | 9.16 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 9.7% | 10.31 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 8.0% | 12.49 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | C P BRAVE | 3.5% | 28.38 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 2.6% | 38.57 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 24.5
PLACE
2 30.5
5 11
7 20
QUINELLA
2,5 131
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 54.5
2,7 82.5
5,7 36
FORECAST
5,2 256
TIERCE
5,2,7 955
TRIO
2,5,7 201
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 1,142
QUARTET
5,2,7,1 16,448
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,12/2,7>5,6 49,058
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
5/2 181.5
5/5,6 254.5