Happy Valley · 2023-04-06 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE HULK Closed strongly 1.40.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | BIG TWO Closed strongly H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | THETA HEDGE H/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 6.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ONE HEART ONE Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 7 | 2.9 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly H/PC/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 10 | 28.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY HUNK Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 6 | 56.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY B/H/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 8.4 | 14-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 7.7 | 14-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 3 | 28.0 | 21 |
| 11 | 0 | JAZZ WITH DRAGON Led early K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 78.0 | 21-1/4 |
| — | 0 | KUNG FU TEA L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. THE HULK, ridden by L Currie and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with RED ELYSEES second and BIG TWO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite ONE HEART ONE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ONE HEART ONE | 17.7% | 5.64 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | THE HULK | 16.8% | 5.96 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BIG TWO | 14.5% | 6.89 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY | 13.7% | 7.28 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | THETA HEDGE | 13.0% | 7.71 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 9.4% | 10.67 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 5.4% | 18.66 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 4.6% | 21.74 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK | 2.0% | 49.24 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY HUNK | 1.7% | 58.49 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | JAZZ WITH DRAGON | 1.2% | 81.27 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 99.5
PLACE
3 18
5 24.5
12 47
QUINELLA
5,12 773.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 68.5
3,12 182.5
5,12 174
FORECAST
5,12 1,339
TIERCE
5,12,3 8,319
TRIO
3,5,12 1,242
FIRST 4
3,5,11,12 1,390
QUARTET
5,12,3,11 44,690
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 26.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/5 613.5
3/12 322