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Happy Valley · 2023-04-06 · 21:46

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course A 9 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 2 3.1 SH
3 0 PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly V M Chadwick · K H Ting 10 14.0 2-3/4
4 0 RED MAJESTY B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 3 20.0 5-1/4
5 0 SILVER HAMMER CP1 S De Sousa · R Gibson 1 5.0 5-1/2
6 0 E LEGEND C L Chau · K L Man 5 9.9 6-1/4
7 0 HK DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 6 5.5 7-1/2
8 0 MY ECSTATIC Led early TT K C Leung · F C Lor 4 37.0 18-3/4
9 0 WINNING DRAGON H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 8 27.0 19-3/4
10 0 MIRACLE BEAMS CP A Badel · P C Ng 7 67.0 24
— 0 HELENE FEELING Closed strongly XB1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum — 4.6 SH

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ROCKET SPADE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with PEGASUS GENERAL second and RED MAJESTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. ROCKET SPADE+0.1L3. PEGASUS GENERAL+2.75L4. RED MAJESTY+5.25L5. SILVER HAMMER+5.5L6. E LEGEND+6.25L7. HK DRAGON+7.5L8. MY ECSTATIC+18.75L9. WINNING DRAGON+19.75L10. MIRACLE BEAMS+24L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ROCKET SPADE 24.5% 4.08 2
2 0 HELENE FEELING 15.6% 6.40 —
3 0 SILVER HAMMER 12.9% 7.73 5
4 0 PEGASUS GENERAL 12.1% 8.24 3
5 0 E LEGEND 10.4% 9.65 6
6 0 HK DRAGON 9.1% 11.03 7
7 0 RED MAJESTY 8.7% 11.47 4
8 0 MY ECSTATIC 3.1% 32.26 8
9 0 WINNING DRAGON 2.8% 35.95 9
10 0 MIRACLE BEAMS 0.7% 133.96 10
ROCKET SPADEHELENE FEELINGSILVER HAMMERPEGASUS GENERALE LEGENDHK DRAGONRED MAJESTYMY ECSTATICWINNING DRAGONMIRACLE BEAMS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 46

PLACE

2 13

5 19

8 39.5

QUINELLA

2,5 83.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 38

2,8 71

5,8 115

FORECAST

5,2 190

TIERCE

5,2,8 1,347

TRIO

2,5,8 324

FIRST 4

1,2,5,8 725

QUARTET

5,2,8,1 10,854

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 18.5

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,8,9/2,5,8 73,142

6TH DOUBLE

1/2 25

1/5 303.5

TRIPLE TRIO

2,7>5,6/1,8,9/2,5,8 3,682,947

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,7>5,6/1,8,9/Any Combination 9,566