Happy Valley · 2023-04-06 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HELENE FEELING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with ROCKET SPADE second and PEGASUS GENERAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite ROCKET SPADE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly XB1/TT 1.40.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 4.6 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 3.1 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly V M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 10 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | RED MAJESTY B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SILVER HAMMER CP1 S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 1 | 5.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | E LEGEND C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 5 | 9.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | HK DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | MY ECSTATIC Led early TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 37.0 | 18-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | WINNING DRAGON H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 8 | 27.0 | 19-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | MIRACLE BEAMS CP A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 7 | 67.0 | 24 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ROCKET SPADE | 24.5% | 4.08 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | HELENE FEELING | 15.6% | 6.40 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | SILVER HAMMER | 12.9% | 7.73 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 12.1% | 8.24 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | E LEGEND | 10.4% | 9.65 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | HK DRAGON | 9.1% | 11.03 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | RED MAJESTY | 8.7% | 11.47 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | MY ECSTATIC | 3.1% | 32.26 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | WINNING DRAGON | 2.8% | 35.95 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | MIRACLE BEAMS | 0.7% | 133.96 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 46
PLACE
2 13
5 19
8 39.5
QUINELLA
2,5 83.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 38
2,8 71
5,8 115
FORECAST
5,2 190
TIERCE
5,2,8 1,347
TRIO
2,5,8 324
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 725
QUARTET
5,2,8,1 10,854
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,9/2,5,8 73,142
6TH DOUBLE
1/2 25
1/5 303.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,7>5,6/1,8,9/2,5,8 3,682,947
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,7>5,6/1,8,9/Any Combination 9,566