Happy Valley · 2023-04-06 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-06 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. STRIVE FOR GLORY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with TRONIC MIGHTY second and U W BROTHER third. The 2.9 favourite TRONIC MIGHTY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT 0.57.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 12 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | TRONIC MIGHTY V/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | U W BROTHER S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 2 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | JACK WIN B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | TREASURE OF FIELD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 6 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | RAGING BLAZE TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 4.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | SIX BEST FRIENDS TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 5 | 79.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | JAZZ STEED B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 12.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | FORTUNE TURBO B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 116.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | THIS IS CHARISMA CP/TT H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 1 | 86.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | THIS IS GUTS TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 104.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RAGING BLAZE | 26.3% | 3.81 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 19.1% | 5.23 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | U W BROTHER | 14.7% | 6.81 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | JACK WIN | 11.9% | 8.38 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | GOODMANSHIP | 5.4% | 18.67 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 4.9% | 20.46 | 1 |
| 7 | 9 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 4.6% | 21.57 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | JAZZ STEED | 4.0% | 25.06 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 2.8% | 35.91 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | THIS IS GUTS | 2.3% | 43.11 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | SIX BEST FRIENDS | 2.2% | 44.61 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | FORTUNE TURBO | 1.8% | 56.07 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 164
PLACE
6 46.5
8 13
11 14.5
QUINELLA
6,8 330.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 103.5
6,11 102.5
8,11 24.5
FORECAST
6,8 946
TIERCE
6,8,11 2,819
TRIO
6,8,11 258
FIRST 4
4,6,8,11 786
QUARTET
6,8,11,4 28,578
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/6 2,224
5/8 37.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 54.5