Happy Valley · 2023-04-06 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SON PAK FU, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with KASI FARASI second and SNOWALOT third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SON PAK FU BO 1.10.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | KASI FARASI B1 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 10 | 79.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | SNOWALOT B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | E RAINBOW TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 7 | 8.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | E BROTHER B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 8 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | FLAMING EAGLE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 9 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | DIVINE ERA TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 1 | 6.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | FINGERS CROSSED H/TT M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 12 | 23.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | ALL IS GOOD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 5.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | STOICISM B-/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 11 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | GO GO GO H1/TT L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 2 | 107.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | MASTER OF ALL H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 5 | 37.0 | 28-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SON PAK FU | 22.8% | 4.39 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | ALL IS GOOD | 16.7% | 5.98 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | DIVINE ERA | 13.9% | 7.21 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | E BROTHER | 12.1% | 8.29 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | SNOWALOT | 9.8% | 10.16 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | E RAINBOW | 8.4% | 11.90 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | FINGERS CROSSED | 4.9% | 20.43 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | FLAMING EAGLE | 3.8% | 26.42 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | KASI FARASI | 2.8% | 36.24 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | STOICISM | 2.1% | 47.86 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | MASTER OF ALL | 2.1% | 48.65 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | GO GO GO | 0.8% | 132.61 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 26
PLACE
2 13.5
4 140.5
8 23
QUINELLA
2,4 966
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 293
2,8 43
4,8 610
FORECAST
2,4 1,003
TIERCE
2,4,8 8,405
TRIO
2,4,8 1,829
FIRST 4
2,4,8,9 2,717
QUARTET
2,4,8,9 50,976
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/2 130.5
5/4 582