Sha Tin · 2023-09-17 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B1/TT 1.08.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 3 | 1.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | EURO ROCKS TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FIERY DIAMOND E C W Wong · T P Yung | E C W Wong | T P Yung | 2 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | IMPERIAL MAGEE SR/XB/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 6.3 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | O'LINER P/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 17.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-17 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SELF IMPROVEMENT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 1/2, with EURO ROCKS second and FIERY DIAMOND third. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 48.8% | 2.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FIERY DIAMOND | 14.6% | 6.84 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 13.5% | 7.43 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 12.4% | 8.05 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | EURO ROCKS | 6.3% | 15.89 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | O'LINER | 4.4% | 22.87 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 13
PLACE
4 10.5
5 41.5
QUINELLA
4,5 63
FORECAST
4,5 78
TIERCE
4,5,1 294
TRIO
1,4,5 94
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 36
QUARTET
4,5,1,6 557