Sha Tin · 2023-09-17 · 07:37
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-17 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. PAKISTAN FRIEND, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with LUCKY ETERNITY second and FOREVER GLORIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite LUCKY ETERNITY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT 1.35.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 9 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY ETERNITY Closed strongly CP H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 1 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Led early B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 12 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 3 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 6.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 7 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 2 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | SMILING COLLECTOR V/XB/TT1 L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 6.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | LOOKING COOL CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 9.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | CYBER PATCH PC/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 5 | 60.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | SERANGOON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | TURQUOISE ALPHA CP/XB H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 11 | 26.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 24.5% | 4.08 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | ENTRUSTED | 14.1% | 7.11 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 13.0% | 7.68 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | LOOKING COOL | 12.4% | 8.06 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | REACH GOAL | 7.5% | 13.26 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 6.8% | 14.72 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 6.7% | 14.83 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 5.1% | 19.52 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 4.5% | 22.17 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 2.7% | 37.61 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | SERANGOON | 2.0% | 50.13 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | CYBER PATCH | 0.6% | 156.27 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 103.5
PLACE
7 15
10 35.5
11 29.5
QUINELLA
7,11 142.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 83.5
7,11 58
10,11 188.5
FORECAST
11,7 397
TIERCE
11,7,10 3,998
TRIO
7,10,11 633
FIRST 4
7,8,10,11 2,196
QUARTET
11,7,10,8 47,767
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,10/7,10,11 260,869
5TH DOUBLE
10/7 225
10/11 3,368.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,7/2,8,10/Any Combination 317,624