Sha Tin · 2023-09-17 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPERB BOY Closed strongly TT 1.21.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 2 | 2.1 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 10 | 7.6 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | HYPER DRAGON BALL Closed strongly TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 12 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly B-/PC1/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 4 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 32.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | E LEGEND B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 1 | 6.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 8 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | SETANTA B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | SUNNY STAR B E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 25.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-17 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPERB BOY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with MASSIVE ACTION second and HYPER DRAGON BALL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPERB BOY | 26.1% | 3.83 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE | 10.1% | 9.91 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION | 9.5% | 10.51 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 7.7% | 12.93 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | E LEGEND | 7.6% | 13.19 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | SETANTA | 7.5% | 13.31 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | HYPER DRAGON BALL | 7.0% | 14.35 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 6.6% | 15.11 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 5.9% | 17.05 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 5.5% | 18.15 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN | 4.5% | 22.06 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 2.0% | 50.84 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 21.5
PLACE
2 11.5
3 48
10 26.5
QUINELLA
2,10 94
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 82
2,10 41.5
3,10 218.5
FORECAST
2,10 177
TIERCE
2,10,3 1,638
TRIO
2,3,10 479
FIRST 4
2,3,9,10 1,032
QUARTET
2,10,3,9 13,533
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
13/5/2 576
13/5/10 172
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,10/2,3,10 34,945
9TH DOUBLE
5/2 139.5
5/10 51.5
SIX UP
8,10/7,11/2,3/8,13/4,5/2,10 4,265
10/11/3/13/5/2 474,559
2 [K W Lui] —
2 [H Bowman] —