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Sha Tin · 2023-09-17 · 09:14

Race 9

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-17 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER WINNER, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with COPARTNER AMBITION second and RIVER VIEWS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite OWNERS' PRAISE finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1.21.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 SUPER WINNER Closed strongly TT 1.21.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C H Yip 4 5.0 1/2
2 4 COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 7 7.1 1/2
3 10 RIVER VIEWS Led early K Teetan · T P Yung 12 12.0 3/4
4 14 HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum 6 16.0 1
5 2 LEAN HERO Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 5 18.0 1-1/4
6 13 BEAUTY MISSION Closed strongly SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 2 11.0 1-3/4
7 1 OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly CP1 Z Purton · W Y So 1 4.3 2-1/4
8 6 MASTER HERO Closed strongly CP/XB/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 9 8.8 2-1/2
9 11 CHAMPION INSTINCT B A Badel · D J Hall 8 17.0 4-1/4
10 9 KING OF THE COURT B L Hewitson · D J Whyte 11 14.0 5-3/4
11 8 PROUD DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT H Bentley · C Fownes 13 12.0 5-3/4
12 3 CHANCHENG GLORY XB/CP1 K De Melo · K W Lui 14 57.0 6-3/4
13 12 WINNING DATA Closed strongly A Atzeni · P F Yiu 3 98.0 6-3/4
14 7 TATTENHAM H/P L Ferraris · P C Ng 10 112.0 10-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER WINNER2. COPARTNER AMBITION+0.5L3. RIVER VIEWS+0.75L4. HORSESAIN BOLT+1L5. LEAN HERO+1.25L6. BEAUTY MISSION+1.75L7. OWNERS' PRAISE+2.25L8. MASTER HERO+2.5L9. CHAMPION INSTINCT+4.25L10. KING OF THE COURT+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick OWNERS' PRAISE (29.7%) finished 7th — the winner SUPER WINNER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 OWNERS' PRAISE 29.7% 3.37 7
2 5 SUPER WINNER 12.9% 7.77 1
3 2 LEAN HERO 10.2% 9.81 5
4 10 RIVER VIEWS 7.5% 13.31 3
5 3 CHANCHENG GLORY 5.7% 17.62 12
6 6 MASTER HERO 5.5% 18.25 8
7 13 BEAUTY MISSION 5.1% 19.43 6
8 4 COPARTNER AMBITION 4.7% 21.22 2
9 9 KING OF THE COURT 4.7% 21.28 10
10 11 CHAMPION INSTINCT 4.3% 23.10 9
11 14 HORSESAIN BOLT 3.8% 26.00 4
12 8 PROUD DRAGON 2.7% 37.58 11
13 12 WINNING DATA 2.5% 39.66 13
14 7 TATTENHAM 0.6% 158.13 14
OWNERS' PRAISESUPER WINNER — wonLEAN HERORIVER VIEWSCHANCHENG GLORYMASTER HEROBEAUTY MISSIONCOPARTNER AMBITIONKING OF THE COURTCHAMPION INSTINCTHORSESAIN BOLTPROUD DRAGONWINNING DATATATTENHAM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 50

PLACE

4 24

5 19

10 35.5

QUINELLA

4,5 179.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 69.5

4,10 136

5,10 98.5

FORECAST

5,4 309

TIERCE

5,4,10 2,847

TRIO

4,5,10 625

FIRST 4

4,5,10,14 2,131

QUARTET

5,4,10,14 36,448

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

13/4 58

13/5 155