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Sha Tin · 2023-09-17 · 17:13

Race 9

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPER WINNER Closed strongly TT 1.21.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C H Yip 4 5.0 1/2
2 0 COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 7 7.1 1/2
3 0 RIVER VIEWS Led early K Teetan · T P Yung 12 12.0 3/4
4 0 HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum 6 16.0 1
5 0 LEAN HERO Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 5 18.0 1-1/4
6 0 BEAUTY MISSION Closed strongly SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 2 11.0 1-3/4
7 0 OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly CP1 Z Purton · W Y So 1 4.3 2-1/4
8 0 MASTER HERO Closed strongly CP/XB/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 9 8.8 2-1/2
9 0 CHAMPION INSTINCT B A Badel · D J Hall 8 17.0 4-1/4
10 0 KING OF THE COURT B L Hewitson · D J Whyte 11 14.0 5-3/4
11 0 PROUD DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT H Bentley · C Fownes 13 12.0 5-3/4
12 0 CHANCHENG GLORY XB/CP1 K De Melo · K W Lui 14 57.0 6-3/4
13 0 WINNING DATA Closed strongly A Atzeni · P F Yiu 3 98.0 6-3/4
14 0 TATTENHAM H/P L Ferraris · P C Ng 10 112.0 10-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-17 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER WINNER, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with COPARTNER AMBITION second and RIVER VIEWS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite OWNERS' PRAISE finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER WINNER—2. COPARTNER AMBITION+0.5L3. RIVER VIEWS+0.75L4. HORSESAIN BOLT+1L5. LEAN HERO+1.25L6. BEAUTY MISSION+1.75L7. OWNERS' PRAISE+2.25L8. MASTER HERO+2.5L9. CHAMPION INSTINCT+4.25L10. KING OF THE COURT+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick OWNERS' PRAISE (29.7%) finished 7th — the winner SUPER WINNER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 OWNERS' PRAISE 29.7% 3.37 7
2 0 SUPER WINNER 12.9% 7.77 1
3 0 LEAN HERO 10.2% 9.81 5
4 0 RIVER VIEWS 7.5% 13.31 3
5 0 CHANCHENG GLORY 5.7% 17.62 12
6 0 MASTER HERO 5.5% 18.25 8
7 0 BEAUTY MISSION 5.1% 19.43 6
8 0 COPARTNER AMBITION 4.7% 21.22 2
9 0 KING OF THE COURT 4.7% 21.28 10
10 0 CHAMPION INSTINCT 4.3% 23.10 9
11 0 HORSESAIN BOLT 3.8% 26.00 4
12 0 PROUD DRAGON 2.7% 37.58 11
13 0 WINNING DATA 2.5% 39.66 13
14 0 TATTENHAM 0.6% 158.13 14
OWNERS' PRAISESUPER WINNER — wonLEAN HERORIVER VIEWSCHANCHENG GLORYMASTER HEROBEAUTY MISSIONCOPARTNER AMBITIONKING OF THE COURTCHAMPION INSTINCTHORSESAIN BOLTPROUD DRAGONWINNING DATATATTENHAM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 50

PLACE

4 24

5 19

10 35.5

QUINELLA

4,5 179.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 69.5

4,10 136

5,10 98.5

FORECAST

5,4 309

TIERCE

5,4,10 2,847

TRIO

4,5,10 625

FIRST 4

4,5,10,14 2,131

QUARTET

5,4,10,14 36,448

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

13/4 58

13/5 155