Sha Tin · 2023-09-17 · 08:39
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-17 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. KURPANY, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with WHIZZ KID second and CARROLL STREET third. The 1.3 favourite DREAM WINNER finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KURPANY B/TT 0.56.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 25.0 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | WHIZZ KID B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 14.0 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | CARROLL STREET B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | WE ARE HERO V/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | DREAM WINNER C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 1.3 | 1-1/2 |
| — | 2 | PING HAI GALAXY K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DREAM WINNER | 75.2% | 1.33 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | WHIZZ KID | 11.7% | 8.52 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | WE ARE HERO | 5.3% | 18.83 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | CARROLL STREET | 4.3% | 23.07 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | KURPANY | 3.5% | 28.92 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 256
PLACE
1 40.5
4 33
QUINELLA
1,4 711.5
FORECAST
1,4 1,520
TIERCE
1,4,5 4,426
TRIO
1,4,5 432
- —
2ND DOUBLE
5/1 1,129
5/4 128.5