Sha Tin · 2023-09-17 · 13:31
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly PC- 1.22.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | M M NEBULA Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 3 | 6.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 10 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL IS READY Led early V-/B2 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 4.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 55.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 9 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | HUNKY DORY SR/V/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 13 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | COPARTNER PUDONG B-/TT1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 2 | 54.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | MIRACLES B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 4.2 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | EAGLE RUN SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 11 | 34.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | SHENZHOU TWELVE B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 90.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY MATADOR B/XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 55.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | BROTHER PEARL B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 8.3 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-17 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SURE JOYFUL, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/2, with M M NEBULA second and NOBLE STEED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite MIRACLES finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL | 23.8% | 4.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MIRACLES | 14.4% | 6.95 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | ALL IS READY | 12.4% | 8.06 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 11.0% | 9.07 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | M M NEBULA | 8.1% | 12.33 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | HUNKY DORY | 6.0% | 16.75 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | BROTHER PEARL | 4.6% | 21.53 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 4.5% | 22.41 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | EAGLE RUN | 4.4% | 22.82 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN | 4.0% | 25.22 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY MATADOR | 2.7% | 37.15 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | COPARTNER PUDONG | 2.6% | 38.71 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | SHENZHOU TWELVE | 1.6% | 63.46 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 53.5
PLACE
2 30
5 18
8 21.5
QUINELLA
5,8 149
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 82
2,8 124.5
5,8 65.5
FORECAST
5,8 292
TIERCE
5,8,2 1,739
TRIO
2,5,8 381
FIRST 4
2,5,8,12 538
QUARTET
5,8,2,12 11,113
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/5 88.5
4/8 18.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/2,5,8 4,426