Happy Valley · 2023-10-29 · 17:58
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING Closed strongly CP/TT 1.41.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BRILLIANT WAY Led early SR/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 4 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | LEAN HERO Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BIG RED Closed strongly K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 1 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | E LEGEND K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 37.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BRAVE DREAMS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DEVILDOM Closed strongly L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 7 | 40.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly V A Atzeni · K H Ting | A Atzeni | K H Ting | 10 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 11 | 53.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JUNE PLANET TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 6 | 4.5 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | ZONE D TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 17.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | HK DRAGON V/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 8 | 24.0 | 8-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-29 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SPLENDID LIVING, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with BRILLIANT WAY second and LEAN HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING | 19.3% | 5.19 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | JUNE PLANET | 15.8% | 6.35 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | LEAN HERO | 13.2% | 7.56 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | BIG RED | 10.9% | 9.20 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 7.3% | 13.63 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | BRAVE DREAMS | 7.2% | 13.87 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | E LEGEND | 5.9% | 16.95 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | BRILLIANT WAY | 4.7% | 21.22 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | DEVILDOM | 4.5% | 22.22 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | HK DRAGON | 4.3% | 23.49 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 3.9% | 25.78 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | ZONE D | 3.1% | 32.60 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 39
PLACE
4 15.5
6 37.5
7 22
QUINELLA
4,6 212
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 83
4,7 48
6,7 117
FORECAST
4,6 385
TIERCE
4,6,7 1,688
TRIO
4,6,7 405
FIRST 4
4,6,7,8 416
QUARTET
4,6,7,8 6,268
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
9/6/4 3,417
9/6/6 2,089
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,12/4,6,7 17,138
9TH DOUBLE
6/4 215
6/6 131
SIX UP
8/1/8/9/6/4 333,479
8,12/1,3/8,9/2,9/5,6/4,6 26,144
1 [P F Yiu] —
- —
1 [Z Purton] —