Happy Valley · 2023-10-29 · 13:16
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly SR/TT 2.17.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 2.4 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY Led early TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.1 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 4 | 8.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON SR/XB/CP2/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 3 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG BRILLIANT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 7 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 13.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-29 was Class 3 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. TURIN MASCOT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by NOSE, with MAJESTIC VICTORY second and NATURAL STORM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT | 47.8% | 2.09 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 23.0% | 4.34 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE | 5.9% | 16.94 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 5.5% | 18.11 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 5.5% | 18.20 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 4.5% | 22.38 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 4.1% | 24.16 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.7% | 27.23 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 24
PLACE
1 15
4 11
5 21
QUINELLA
4,5 79.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 25.5
1,5 58.5
4,5 32.5
FORECAST
4,5 131
TIERCE
4,5,1 467
TRIO
1,4,5 119
FIRST 4
1,2,4,5 112
QUARTET
4,5,1,2 2,074
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/4 325
8/5 117
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,8/1,4,5 18,727