Happy Valley · 2023-10-29 · 17:23
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN ARTIE H/XB 1.10.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 1 | 6.3 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BRAVE STAR XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 5.8 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | KILINDINI H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 2 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 5 | 25.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EXCELLENT PEERS H-/XB Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 3 | 7.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SMOKEY BEAR B/XB/TT K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 12 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KYRUS DRAGON XB/H1 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 9 | 50.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | STREET CONQUEROR TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ATOMIC FORCE H/XB H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION CP/H/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 11 | 8.6 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE PC/XB M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 7 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | DESERT STAR SR/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 10 | 103.0 | 3-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-29 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN ARTIE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with BRAVE STAR second and KILINDINI third. The 4.8 favourite STREET CONQUEROR finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 24.1% | 4.15 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 13.1% | 7.66 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION | 10.3% | 9.68 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | KILINDINI | 9.8% | 10.20 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | STREET CONQUEROR | 9.0% | 11.17 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | ATOMIC FORCE | 7.5% | 13.39 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | SMOKEY BEAR | 7.5% | 13.41 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | BRAVE STAR | 6.8% | 14.60 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 6.3% | 15.88 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | NOT USUAL STAR | 2.7% | 37.43 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | KYRUS DRAGON | 2.2% | 45.68 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | DESERT STAR | 0.8% | 119.12 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 63.5
PLACE
5 21.5
6 23.5
12 18
QUINELLA
5,6 185
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 69.5
5,12 59
6,12 58.5
FORECAST
6,5 414
TIERCE
6,5,12 1,578
TRIO
5,6,12 290
FIRST 4
2,5,6,12 1,502
QUARTET
6,5,12,2 26,658
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
9/5 147
9/6 1,118