Happy Valley · 2023-10-29 · 08:50
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-29 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. PRECISE EXPRESS, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with AMAZING TEENS second and DAZZLING FELLOW third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite DAZZLING FELLOW finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H 1.50.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 4 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly P-/H/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 47.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | DAZZLING FELLOW Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ROYAL PRIDE TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | HAPPY ANGEL B M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 11 | 6.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | CLASSIC ARCHI B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 8 | 9.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | AI ONE H/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 2 | 35.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 10 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | CIRCUIT ELITE Led early B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | REACH GOAL TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | FOREVER GLORIOUS B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 5 | 12.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | FOREVER FOLKS CP-/B2 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 44.0 | 39-1/4 |
| — | 0 | VINCY A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 27.3% | 3.67 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 12.5% | 8.01 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 11.4% | 8.74 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | ROYAL PRIDE | 10.2% | 9.78 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | REACH GOAL | 8.8% | 11.39 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | HAPPY ANGEL | 8.7% | 11.43 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 4.7% | 21.32 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | AMAZING TEENS | 4.6% | 21.53 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | FLYING SILVER | 3.7% | 27.08 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | AI ONE | 3.5% | 28.68 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 3.3% | 30.30 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | FOREVER FOLKS | 1.2% | 81.21 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 169
PLACE
2 104
8 14
9 48
QUINELLA
2,9 3,855
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 179.5
2,9 838
8,9 70.5
FORECAST
9,2 7,112
TIERCE
9,2,8 21,344
TRIO
2,8,9 2,201
FIRST 4
1,2,8,9 4,045
QUARTET
9,2,8,1 219,061
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/2,8,9 168,809
7TH DOUBLE
8/2 189.5
8/9 789.5