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Happy Valley · 2023-10-29 · 16:48

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD 1800m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.50.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H 1.50.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu 4 16.0 3/4
2 0 AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly P-/H/TT B Avdulla · J Size 9 47.0 3/4
3 0 DAZZLING FELLOW Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · D J Hall 1 2.9 1-1/4
4 0 ROYAL PRIDE TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 6 10.0 1-1/2
5 0 HAPPY ANGEL B M Chadwick · P C Ng 11 6.5 1-1/2
6 0 CLASSIC ARCHI B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte 8 9.8 1-3/4
7 0 AI ONE H/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 2 35.0 2-1/4
8 0 FLYING SILVER Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 10 19.0 3-1/4
9 0 CIRCUIT ELITE Led early B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 12 17.0 5-1/2
10 0 REACH GOAL TT A Badel · P F Yiu 3 5.0 5-3/4
11 0 FOREVER GLORIOUS B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui 5 12.0 9
12 0 FOREVER FOLKS CP-/B2 A Hamelin · C W Chang 7 44.0 39-1/4
— 0 VINCY A Atzeni · C H Yip — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-29 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. PRECISE EXPRESS, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with AMAZING TEENS second and DAZZLING FELLOW third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite DAZZLING FELLOW finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PRECISE EXPRESS—2. AMAZING TEENS+0.75L3. DAZZLING FELLOW+1.25L4. ROYAL PRIDE+1.5L5. HAPPY ANGEL+1.5L6. CLASSIC ARCHI+1.75L7. AI ONE+2.25L8. FLYING SILVER+3.25L9. CIRCUIT ELITE+5.5L10. REACH GOAL+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick DAZZLING FELLOW (27.3%) finished 3rd — the winner PRECISE EXPRESS was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DAZZLING FELLOW 27.3% 3.67 3
2 0 CLASSIC ARCHI 12.5% 8.01 6
3 0 FOREVER GLORIOUS 11.4% 8.74 11
4 0 ROYAL PRIDE 10.2% 9.78 4
5 0 REACH GOAL 8.8% 11.39 10
6 0 HAPPY ANGEL 8.7% 11.43 5
7 0 PRECISE EXPRESS 4.7% 21.32 1
8 0 AMAZING TEENS 4.6% 21.53 2
9 0 FLYING SILVER 3.7% 27.08 8
10 0 AI ONE 3.5% 28.68 7
11 0 CIRCUIT ELITE 3.3% 30.30 9
12 0 FOREVER FOLKS 1.2% 81.21 12
DAZZLING FELLOWCLASSIC ARCHIFOREVER GLORIOUSROYAL PRIDEREACH GOALHAPPY ANGELPRECISE EXPRESS — wonAMAZING TEENSFLYING SILVERAI ONECIRCUIT ELITEFOREVER FOLKS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 169

PLACE

2 104

8 14

9 48

QUINELLA

2,9 3,855

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 179.5

2,9 838

8,9 70.5

FORECAST

9,2 7,112

TIERCE

9,2,8 21,344

TRIO

2,8,9 2,201

FIRST 4

1,2,8,9 4,045

QUARTET

9,2,8,1 219,061

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

7,8,9/2,8,9 168,809

7TH DOUBLE

8/2 189.5

8/9 789.5