Happy Valley · 2023-10-29 · 06:00
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-29 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HANG'S CHOICE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with UNITED ENDEAVORS second and CORDYCEPS ONE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite MEDIC ELITE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 2 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | UNITED ENDEAVORS Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 4 | 8.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | CORDYCEPS ONE B-/H- L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | MILLENNIUM FALCON TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 9 | 46.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BRAVE AND BOLD Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | VIVA A LA Led early P/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 4.8 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | PEAK TO PEAK Closed strongly H-/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 1 | 12.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | SHENZHOU TWELVE H H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 96.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | GENEROUS FRIEND TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 106.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | EAGLE RUN CP/SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 12 | 22.0 | 18 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VIVA A LA | 12.5% | 8.03 | 8 |
| 2 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE | 12.4% | 8.04 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | MEDIC ELITE | 12.3% | 8.10 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 11.7% | 8.58 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | PEAK TO PEAK | 11.0% | 9.10 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | BRAVE AND BOLD | 10.3% | 9.69 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | SMART BEAUTY | 8.9% | 11.26 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 7.1% | 14.07 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | EAGLE RUN | 5.8% | 17.23 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 3.7% | 27.00 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | GENEROUS FRIEND | 2.9% | 34.89 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | SHENZHOU TWELVE | 1.4% | 70.08 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 43.5
PLACE
1 31
3 27
12 16.5
QUINELLA
3,12 189
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 128.5
1,12 82
3,12 70
FORECAST
12,3 374
TIERCE
12,3,1 3,363
TRIO
1,3,12 649
FIRST 4
1,3,4,12 6,330
QUARTET
12,3,1,4 80,314
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
4/3 33
4/12 154.5