Happy Valley · 2023-11-01 · 18:41
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE GOOD DEAL B-/SR2/TT 0.57.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 8.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | VALHALLA XB/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 1 | 2.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MULTIMORE TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY HORSE H/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 5 | 4.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DASHING TRIUMPH B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FINGERS CROSSED B/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 3 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING TRAVIS H-/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 60.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BRILLIANT EIGHT B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 8 | 63.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CALL ME TEDDY B2/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 26.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-01 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. THE GOOD DEAL, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1, with VALHALLA second and MULTIMORE third. The 2.5 favourite VALHALLA finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VALHALLA | 23.3% | 4.30 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | THE GOOD DEAL | 19.4% | 5.15 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MULTIMORE | 16.7% | 5.99 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 13.6% | 7.35 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY HORSE | 10.8% | 9.30 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | FINGERS CROSSED | 6.0% | 16.58 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING TRAVIS | 4.3% | 23.26 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CALL ME TEDDY | 3.4% | 29.51 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | BRILLIANT EIGHT | 2.5% | 39.49 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 87
PLACE
2 18.5
3 21
8 12.5
QUINELLA
3,8 83
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 55.5
2,8 28
3,8 32
FORECAST
3,8 221
TIERCE
3,8,2 838
TRIO
2,3,8 130
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 118
QUARTET
3,8,2,7 2,896