Happy Valley · 2023-11-01 · 20:41
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly 1.41.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 5 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 4 | 1.9 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly B/XB L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 7.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | PERFETTO Closed strongly V- B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 2 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 1 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP CP-/B1 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 34.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY CP2/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 24.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | G LINER Closed strongly XB/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 11 | 48.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FREE FOAL V L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 12 | 17.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON V/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 9 | 13.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | BIG TWO Led early CP-/XB/SR2/TT1 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 7 | 20.0 | 12-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-01 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FORTUNE PRESIDENT, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with TURIN WARRIOR second and SURE JOYFUL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite TURIN WARRIOR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR | 26.6% | 3.76 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL | 10.1% | 9.87 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 9.3% | 10.73 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 9.2% | 10.81 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON | 9.2% | 10.92 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 9.1% | 10.95 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 5.2% | 19.35 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | BIG TWO | 4.9% | 20.32 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 4.9% | 20.44 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | PERFETTO | 4.8% | 20.67 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 4.7% | 21.18 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | G LINER | 1.9% | 52.52 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 143.5
PLACE
8 11.5
10 43
12 36.5
QUINELLA
8,12 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 61.5
8,12 50
10,12 288
FORECAST
12,8 438
TIERCE
12,8,10 4,423
TRIO
8,10,12 577
FIRST 4
6,8,10,12 794
QUARTET
12,8,10,6 25,664
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
3/2/8 178
3/2/12 7,270
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,12/8,10,12 107,408
4TH DOUBLE
2/8 65.5
2/12 2,228