Happy Valley · 2023-11-01 · 15:05
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY ARCHANGEL, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with COLOURFUL EMPEROR second and TORONADO PHANTOM third. The 4.0 favourite DENFIELD finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB 1.10.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 17.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 8.8 | N |
| 3 | 9 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | RED ELEGANCE XB/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 10 | 7.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR1 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 5 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | GALLANT WAKING XB- Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | DENFIELD TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 8 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | HAPPY DAILY TT- A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | FUN N GLORY E/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 48.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | AMAZING RUN B/TT1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 1 | 73.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | JOLLY RULER H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
| — | 7 | SOLAR GOGO B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DENFIELD | 24.4% | 4.10 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | GALLANT WAKING | 16.3% | 6.13 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 11.7% | 8.55 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | RED ELEGANCE | 8.0% | 12.47 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | SUGAR SUGAR | 7.5% | 13.28 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | HAPPY DAILY | 7.5% | 13.40 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | FUN N GLORY | 6.6% | 15.24 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR | 6.5% | 15.40 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 5.9% | 16.99 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 4.5% | 22.12 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | AMAZING RUN | 1.1% | 87.55 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 177.5
PLACE
6 49
8 30
9 27.5
QUINELLA
6,8 915
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 256.5
6,9 203
8,9 155
FORECAST
6,8 2,085
TIERCE
6,8,9 16,167
TRIO
6,8,9 2,300
FIRST 4
6,8,9,12 3,532
QUARTET
6,8,9,12 104,467
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
3/11/6 5,603
3/11/8 1,357
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,11/6,8,9 2,860,048
8TH DOUBLE
11/6 997.5
11/8 153
SIX UP
2,3/8,12/3,12/3,10/3,11/6,8 50,346
2/12/3/3/11/6 6,372,870
5 [D J Whyte] —
2 [Y L Chung] —