Happy Valley · 2023-11-01 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly TT 1.40.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 12 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly H/SR/XB/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | OUTGATE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | FRANTANCK Closed strongly M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 3 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | RED MAJESTY B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 5 | 26.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS CP A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 2 | 17.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SILVER SONIC XB H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 4 | 6.1 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MAJESTIC COLOUR V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 36.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CHRYSOS Led early B/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 52.0 | 68-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-01 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHILL CHIBI, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C S Shum, won by 2-3/4, with ESCAPE ROUTE second and TOURBILLON PRINCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite OUTGATE finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OUTGATE | 21.0% | 4.76 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | SILVER SONIC | 16.1% | 6.20 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | IVY LEAGUE | 15.7% | 6.35 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 10.6% | 9.46 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHILL CHIBI | 10.0% | 9.97 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS | 6.7% | 14.96 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 6.2% | 16.04 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 4.8% | 21.02 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | CHRYSOS | 3.2% | 31.18 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 3.1% | 32.01 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 1.8% | 55.56 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | FRANTANCK | 0.7% | 137.24 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 82.5
PLACE
3 92
5 42.5
11 27
QUINELLA
3,11 1,548
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 678.5
3,11 450
5,11 186.5
FORECAST
11,3 2,082
TIERCE
11,3,5 22,581
TRIO
3,5,11 5,808
FIRST 4
3,5,6,11 5,161
QUARTET
11,3,5,6 137,947
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
3/3 481.5
3/11 545.5