Happy Valley · 2023-11-01 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RIGHTEOUS ARION, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with CHOICERUS second and TATTENHAM third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT 1.10.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 2.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | CHOICERUS B M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 2 | 24.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | TATTENHAM A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 4 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | SCOTCH TYCOON B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 9 | 23.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | HIGH PERCENTAGE TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 12 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | KOKUSHI MUSOU B/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 11 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | EVER VICTORIOUS K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 3 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 101.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 8 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | CALL ME MIGHTY H/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 123.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 20.5% | 4.88 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 20.1% | 4.97 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | HAPPY SOUL | 11.9% | 8.39 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | EVER VICTORIOUS | 10.8% | 9.25 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 9.7% | 10.27 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL | 7.2% | 13.98 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 6.6% | 15.17 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | TATTENHAM | 4.7% | 21.35 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 3.9% | 25.71 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | CHOICERUS | 3.0% | 33.63 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 0.9% | 106.53 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | CALL ME MIGHTY | 0.7% | 150.76 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 26.5
PLACE
3 14.5
8 36
12 46.5
QUINELLA
3,12 258.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 70.5
3,12 91
8,12 339.5
FORECAST
3,12 347
TIERCE
3,12,8 4,073
TRIO
3,8,12 952
FIRST 4
3,4,8,12 4,434
QUARTET
3,12,8,4 55,329
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
12/3 493
12/12 689