Happy Valley · 2023-11-01 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-01 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. FORTUNE TRIPLE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with SUNNY BABY second and TURTLE AGAIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite HAPPY HERO finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly 1.50.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 8.1 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly B- Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.6 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 9 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 11 | 37.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | JOYFUL CHAMPION TT B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 10 | 9.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY HERO Closed strongly B L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | GOLDEN FAIRY XB-/B2 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 2 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | LOYAL AMBITION B2/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 6 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly P- L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 12 | 82.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | TRAVEL GUIDE B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 33.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER BUDDY Led early B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 33.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUNNY BABY | 22.8% | 4.39 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 15.4% | 6.51 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | MIGHTY STAR | 13.7% | 7.31 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY HERO | 12.5% | 7.98 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | COLOURFUL BARON | 9.1% | 11.03 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 5.3% | 18.84 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | TURTLE AGAIN | 5.2% | 19.14 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 5.1% | 19.65 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | TRAVEL GUIDE | 4.2% | 23.81 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | LOYAL AMBITION | 3.1% | 32.68 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER BUDDY | 2.7% | 36.97 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | DIAMOND WINNER | 1.0% | 101.35 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 81
PLACE
1 18
7 38
8 24
QUINELLA
1,8 222.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 119.5
1,8 73
7,8 163.5
FORECAST
8,1 477
TIERCE
8,1,7 4,815
TRIO
1,7,8 731
FIRST 4
1,5,7,8 5,573
QUARTET
8,1,7,5 108,528
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 80
3/8 692.5