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Happy Valley · 2023-11-01 · 19:11

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1800m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.50.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly 1.50.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui 5 8.1 SH
2 0 SUNNY BABY Closed strongly B- Z Purton · D A Hayes 7 4.6 SH
3 0 TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung 9 14.0 3/4
4 0 COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · J Richards 11 37.0 1-1/4
5 0 JOYFUL CHAMPION TT B Avdulla · C W Chang 10 9.1 1-1/2
6 0 HAPPY HERO Closed strongly B L Hewitson · M Newnham 3 3.5 1-3/4
7 0 MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 6.8 2-3/4
8 0 GOLDEN FAIRY XB-/B2 K De Melo · W Y So 2 9.4 3
9 0 LOYAL AMBITION B2/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes 6 16.0 3-1/4
10 0 DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly P- L Currie · J Size 12 82.0 5-3/4
11 0 TRAVEL GUIDE B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 4 33.0 6-1/4
12 0 SUPER BUDDY Led early B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 8 33.0 9-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-01 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. FORTUNE TRIPLE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with SUNNY BABY second and TURTLE AGAIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite HAPPY HERO finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FORTUNE TRIPLE—2. SUNNY BABY+0.1L3. TURTLE AGAIN+0.75L4. COLOURFUL BARON+1.25L5. JOYFUL CHAMPION+1.5L6. HAPPY HERO+1.75L7. MIGHTY STAR+2.75L8. GOLDEN FAIRY+3L9. LOYAL AMBITION+3.25L10. DIAMOND WINNER+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick SUNNY BABY (22.8%) finished 2nd — the winner FORTUNE TRIPLE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUNNY BABY 22.8% 4.39 2
2 0 FORTUNE TRIPLE 15.4% 6.51 1
3 0 MIGHTY STAR 13.7% 7.31 7
4 0 HAPPY HERO 12.5% 7.98 6
5 0 COLOURFUL BARON 9.1% 11.03 4
6 0 JOYFUL CHAMPION 5.3% 18.84 5
7 0 TURTLE AGAIN 5.2% 19.14 3
8 0 GOLDEN FAIRY 5.1% 19.65 8
9 0 TRAVEL GUIDE 4.2% 23.81 11
10 0 LOYAL AMBITION 3.1% 32.68 9
11 0 SUPER BUDDY 2.7% 36.97 12
12 0 DIAMOND WINNER 1.0% 101.35 10
SUNNY BABYFORTUNE TRIPLE — wonMIGHTY STARHAPPY HEROCOLOURFUL BARONJOYFUL CHAMPIONTURTLE AGAINGOLDEN FAIRYTRAVEL GUIDELOYAL AMBITIONSUPER BUDDYDIAMOND WINNER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 81

PLACE

1 18

7 38

8 24

QUINELLA

1,8 222.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 119.5

1,8 73

7,8 163.5

FORECAST

8,1 477

TIERCE

8,1,7 4,815

TRIO

1,7,8 731

FIRST 4

1,5,7,8 5,573

QUARTET

8,1,7,5 108,528

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3/1 80

3/8 692.5