Happy Valley · 2023-11-15 · 20:11
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TALENTS SUPREMO TT 1.09.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 4 | 3.6 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | TRAVEL GOLF TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 5 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | JOY COMING CP/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 8.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SIGHT HERO BO/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | ACA POWER CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 7 | 45.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GALVANIC B-/PC1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HARMONY N HOME C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 32.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | TATTENHAM A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 9 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PRIME MORTAR CP/XB/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | KING ECCELLENTE B-/XB/SR2 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 11 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | FAST BUCK P L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 10 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | GOAL STAR M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 109.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TALENTS SUPREMO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W K Mo, won by SH, with TRAVEL GOLF second and JOY COMING third. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GALVANIC | 21.0% | 4.76 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 15.4% | 6.50 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SIGHT HERO | 12.5% | 7.98 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | JOY COMING | 12.5% | 7.99 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | HARMONY N HOME | 6.7% | 14.99 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | TATTENHAM | 5.9% | 16.90 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | FAST BUCK | 5.8% | 17.27 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | KING ECCELLENTE | 4.9% | 20.37 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | ACA POWER | 4.8% | 20.97 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | TRAVEL GOLF | 3.7% | 26.86 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | GOAL STAR | 3.5% | 28.73 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | PRIME MORTAR | 3.3% | 30.19 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 36
PLACE
2 27
9 31
11 15
QUINELLA
9,11 193
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 127.5
2,11 61.5
9,11 73
FORECAST
11,9 353
TIERCE
11,9,2 2,005
TRIO
2,9,11 511
FIRST 4
1,2,9,11 409
QUARTET
11,9,2,1 9,407
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
11/9 69.5
11/11 158.5