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Happy Valley · 2023-11-15 · 21:46

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1650m Course B 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.17
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS Wire to wire 1.40.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 4 18.0 1
2 0 MEANINGFUL STAR Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui 2 13.0 1
3 0 GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes 1 4.3 1-1/2
4 0 HELENE FEELING Closed strongly CP1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum 7 3.6 1-1/2
5 0 TAJ DRAGON Z Purton · P C Ng 8 2.9 1-3/4
6 0 KEEFY TT K C Leung · F C Lor 6 58.0 3
7 0 HAMERON Closed strongly L Ferraris · K W Lui 10 7.3 3-1/4
8 0 ERIMO B-/P1 K Teetan · J Size 3 17.0 3-3/4
9 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT A Badel · F C Lor 9 60.0 6-1/2
10 0 TRUE LEGEND B/TT K H Chan · W K Mo 5 111.0 8-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-15 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TELECOM FIGHTERS, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1, with MEANINGFUL STAR second and GALAXY WITNESS third. The winner led throughout. The 2.9 favourite TAJ DRAGON finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TELECOM FIGHTERS—2. MEANINGFUL STAR+1L3. GALAXY WITNESS+1.5L4. HELENE FEELING+1.5L5. TAJ DRAGON+1.75L6. KEEFY+3L7. HAMERON+3.25L8. ERIMO+3.75L9. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT+6.5L10. TRUE LEGEND+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick TAJ DRAGON (27.6%) finished 5th — the winner TELECOM FIGHTERS was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 TAJ DRAGON 27.6% 3.62 5
2 0 GALAXY WITNESS 19.4% 5.16 3
3 0 HAMERON 15.5% 6.43 7
4 0 HELENE FEELING 13.4% 7.47 4
5 0 MEANINGFUL STAR 7.7% 13.03 2
6 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS 6.9% 14.52 1
7 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 3.7% 27.08 9
8 0 ERIMO 3.5% 28.96 8
9 0 KEEFY 1.3% 74.96 6
10 0 TRUE LEGEND 1.0% 101.32 10
TAJ DRAGONGALAXY WITNESSHAMERONHELENE FEELINGMEANINGFUL STARTELECOM FIGHTERS — wonEVERYONE'S DELIGHTERIMOKEEFYTRUE LEGEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 189

PLACE

1 40

3 30

9 15

QUINELLA

1,3 648

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 159

1,9 117.5

3,9 66.5

FORECAST

1,3 1,290

TIERCE

1,3,9 6,117

TRIO

1,3,9 681

FIRST 4

1,3,4,9 412

QUARTET

1,3,9,4 15,673

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,12/1,3,9 21,431

6TH DOUBLE

12/1 1,432

12/3 194

TRIPLE TRIO

2,4,10/1,4,12/1,3,9 7,201,536

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,4,10/1,4,12/Any Combination 6,830