Happy Valley · 2023-11-15 · 14:25
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-15 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WONDER KIT, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with TOMODACHI KOKOROE second and CAPITAL DELIGHT third. The 3.1 favourite CAPITAL DELIGHT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WONDER KIT CP 1.09.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 4.8 | N |
| 2 | 4 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE H/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.2 | N |
| 3 | 3 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 3.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | COPARTNER AMBITION B/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 8 | 9.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | HOSS XB/CP1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 9 | 76.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SMOKEY BEAR B/XB/TT K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 11 | 53.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 184.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | SAVVY CHIC TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | FUN N GLORY E-/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 60.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | KILINDINI H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 12 | 21.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | KA YING POWER H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 35.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 39.1% | 2.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | WONDER KIT | 15.0% | 6.67 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 14.9% | 6.71 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 11.3% | 8.84 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | SAVVY CHIC | 5.7% | 17.47 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | KILINDINI | 3.4% | 29.43 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 3.2% | 31.43 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | SMOKEY BEAR | 2.6% | 38.03 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | HOSS | 1.7% | 57.34 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | FUN N GLORY | 1.6% | 63.46 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | KA YING POWER | 1.0% | 105.04 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 0.5% | 207.43 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 48.5
PLACE
1 18.5
3 15
4 11.5
QUINELLA
1,4 83.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 31
1,4 29.5
3,4 22.5
FORECAST
1,4 202
TIERCE
1,4,3 504
TRIO
1,3,4 66
FIRST 4
1,3,4,7 160
QUARTET
1,4,3,7 4,252
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 1,030
1/4 124