Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2023-11-15 · 13:15

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B 12 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MULTIDARLING, ridden by H T Mo and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with ACT OF FAITH second and GOLDEN LUCK third. The 3.6 favourite HEALTHY HEALTHY finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1.09.90
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 MULTIDARLING TT 1.09.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · T P Yung 3 10.0 1-1/4
2 1 ACT OF FAITH B1 Z Purton · J Size 8 4.2 1-1/4
3 4 GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT B Avdulla · K L Man 2 5.2 2
4 3 HEALTHY HEALTHY TT L Ferraris · P C Ng 9 3.6 2-3/4
5 2 WINNING HEART B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 5 80.0 4-1/4
6 8 COLONEL V K Teetan · P F Yiu 7 7.1 5
7 7 WOODFIRE CHAMP TT K C Leung · C W Chang 10 89.0 6
8 5 CHATER GOLD L Hewitson · D A Hayes 4 65.0 7
9 6 JUDY'S GREAT TT1 A Atzeni · C S Shum 6 6.2 7-1/2
10 10 MULAN TT K De Melo · J Richards 1 93.0 8
11 11 MAGIC TRAVELLER TT M L Yeung · W Y So 11 134.0 8
12 9 TELECOM SPIRIT B A Badel · Y S Tsui 12 17.0 39

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MULTIDARLING2. ACT OF FAITH+1.25L3. GOLDEN LUCK+2L4. HEALTHY HEALTHY+2.75L5. WINNING HEART+4.25L6. COLONEL+5L7. WOODFIRE CHAMP+6L8. CHATER GOLD+7L9. JUDY'S GREAT+7.5L10. MULAN+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick GOLDEN LUCK (23.5%) finished 3rd — the winner MULTIDARLING was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 GOLDEN LUCK 23.5% 4.26 3
2 1 ACT OF FAITH 13.1% 7.63 2
3 3 HEALTHY HEALTHY 11.7% 8.58 4
4 9 TELECOM SPIRIT 10.7% 9.37 12
5 8 COLONEL 10.0% 9.99 6
6 6 JUDY'S GREAT 9.7% 10.35 9
7 12 MULTIDARLING 9.3% 10.73 1
8 5 CHATER GOLD 6.1% 16.44 8
9 7 WOODFIRE CHAMP 2.1% 46.67 7
10 2 WINNING HEART 1.6% 64.24 5
11 10 MULAN 1.4% 71.82 10
12 11 MAGIC TRAVELLER 0.9% 111.38 11
GOLDEN LUCKACT OF FAITHHEALTHY HEALTHYTELECOM SPIRITCOLONELJUDY'S GREATMULTIDARLING — wonCHATER GOLDWOODFIRE CHAMPWINNING HEARTMULANMAGIC TRAVELLER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 108

PLACE

1 16

4 17.5

12 27.5

QUINELLA

1,12 305.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 45

1,12 87

4,12 73

FORECAST

12,1 620

TIERCE

12,1,4 3,309

TRIO

1,4,12 375

FIRST 4

1,3,4,12 258

QUARTET

12,1,4,3 11,395

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

2/1 14.5

2/12 381.5