Happy Valley · 2023-11-15 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY DAY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by J Richards, won by SH, with YOUNG LIFE FOREVER second and DIAMOND DIAMOND third. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HAPPY DAY B/TT 1.10.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 2 | 2.9 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 30.0 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | DIAMOND DIAMOND L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 8 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | LUCKY PLANET B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 12 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 5 | 8.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | HERO STAR TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 3 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | SO TREASURE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 35.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | HAPPY GOLF Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 3.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | RED MAVERICK M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 80.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MEGA BONUS CP K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 7 | 31.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER EAGLE E1/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 9 | 28.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | SPICY SO SMART B/XB A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 10 | 8.3 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HAPPY DAY | 21.5% | 4.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY GOLF | 12.1% | 8.25 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 11.8% | 8.50 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | LUCKY PLANET | 10.0% | 9.97 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | SO TREASURE | 9.1% | 10.99 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPER EAGLE | 7.6% | 13.16 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 6.3% | 15.98 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | HERO STAR | 5.5% | 18.24 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | SPICY SO SMART | 4.7% | 21.38 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | MEGA BONUS | 4.3% | 23.22 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 4.1% | 24.31 | 3 |
| 12 | 6 | RED MAVERICK | 3.0% | 33.05 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 29
PLACE
2 14
4 61
10 47.5
QUINELLA
2,4 330.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 123
2,10 87
4,10 668
FORECAST
2,4 418
TIERCE
2,4,10 6,919
TRIO
2,4,10 1,953
FIRST 4
2,4,9,10 2,836
QUARTET
2,4,10,9 28,673
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
11/11/2 420
11/11/4 1,159
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,11/2,4,10 128,068
4TH DOUBLE
11/2 101.5
11/4 258