Sha Tin · 2023-12-17 · 05:35
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-17 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. REGENT GLORY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with MAGIC SUPREME second and LEAN MASTER third. The 5.3 favourite DAILY TROPHY finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | REGENT GLORY 1.09.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 11 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | LEAN MASTER B/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 9 | 9.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | MAYHEM H A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | FAST BUCK P B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 6.4 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | ACA POWER CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 6.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 7 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | DAILY TROPHY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 5.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | STRATHBARRY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | SHANGHAI STYLE TT1 K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 10 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | SMART FOLKS B/SR A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 4 | 9.3 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | FLASH POINT B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 3 | 88.0 | 20-1/2 |
| — | 0 | EURO ROCKS M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | DAILY TROPHY | 17.1% | 5.86 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 14.7% | 6.82 | 10 |
| 3 | 7 | ACA POWER | 14.2% | 7.04 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | REGENT GLORY | 10.6% | 9.42 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | SMART FOLKS | 9.8% | 10.22 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | MAYHEM | 7.4% | 13.59 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 6.4% | 15.74 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | FAST BUCK | 5.5% | 18.05 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | STRATHBARRY | 5.1% | 19.72 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | LEAN MASTER | 4.8% | 21.00 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | MAGIC SUPREME | 4.0% | 25.01 | 2 |
| 12 | 1 | FLASH POINT | 0.6% | 168.94 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 68
PLACE
2 46
8 33
10 22
QUINELLA
2,10 601
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 246.5
2,10 209.5
8,10 158
FORECAST
10,2 875
TIERCE
10,2,8 8,659
TRIO
2,8,10 1,980
FIRST 4
2,6,8,10 5,411
QUARTET
10,2,8,6 95,687
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/2 495
4/10 2,460
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,7/2,8,10 1,039,256