Sha Tin · 2023-12-17 · 17:18
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly B1 1.35.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · K W Lui | J McDonald | K W Lui | 10 | 8.6 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | STAR MAC Closed strongly K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 6 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | KARMA Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 2.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN ARTIE Closed strongly H/XB A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 14 | 36.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSILE B B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 7 | 37.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | MARADO B C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 8 | 67.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FLYING MOJITO B/XB K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 11 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER Led early TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 9 | 81.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | ZOOM BOOM B-/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 5.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE H2/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | MAJESTIC SPEED TT1 L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 3 | 136.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER B-/V2/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 13 | 110.0 | 27-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-17 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SPEED DRAGON, ridden by J McDonald and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with BEAUTY FIT second and STAR MAC third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite KARMA finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KARMA | 22.3% | 4.48 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 16.3% | 6.15 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 9.4% | 10.59 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | ZOOM BOOM | 9.3% | 10.78 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 7.6% | 13.13 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE | 7.3% | 13.76 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEED DRAGON | 6.8% | 14.74 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | MARADO | 5.7% | 17.66 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING MOJITO | 3.8% | 26.36 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | MAJESTIC SPEED | 2.9% | 34.30 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 2.6% | 38.19 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER | 2.6% | 39.16 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 2.4% | 42.17 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | STAR MAC | 1.1% | 91.38 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 86.5
PLACE
4 29
7 32.5
14 34.5
QUINELLA
4,7 431
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 139.5
4,14 234
7,14 235
FORECAST
4,7 883
TIERCE
4,7,14 13,337
TRIO
4,7,14 2,457
FIRST 4
4,6,7,14 973
QUARTET
4,7,14,6 41,314
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
2/4 365
2/7 55.5