Sha Tin · 2023-12-17 · 07:45
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-17 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. JUMBO FORTUNE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by 3/4, with ENDEARED second and MACH TEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC/XB 1.22.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | ENDEARED Closed strongly XB Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 14 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | MACH TEN Closed strongly CP K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 12 | 49.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | AORAKI SUMMIT CP/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 13 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PRIME MORTAR CP-/XB/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 48.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly B J McDonald · W Y So | J McDonald | W Y So | 4 | 6.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | HIGH PERCENTAGE Led early B1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | ENNEA FORTUNE Closed strongly TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 4.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | WAR OF COURAGE Closed strongly B B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 3 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | ATOMIC BEAUTY CP-/B2/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 87.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY GOLD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 8.4 | 10 |
| 13 | 12 | SPEEDY CHARIOT SR L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 8 | 18.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | FAST VICTORY E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 11 | 126.0 | 23-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 18.3% | 5.47 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | ENDEARED | 15.1% | 6.63 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 12.0% | 8.36 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | CELTIC TIMES | 9.8% | 10.23 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 7.8% | 12.84 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | WAR OF COURAGE | 6.7% | 14.86 | 10 |
| 7 | 13 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 6.1% | 16.27 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 5.9% | 16.93 | 13 |
| 9 | 5 | LUCKY GOLD | 5.5% | 18.18 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | PRIME MORTAR | 3.9% | 25.77 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | ENNEA FORTUNE | 3.2% | 31.41 | 8 |
| 12 | 14 | MACH TEN | 2.6% | 38.78 | 3 |
| 13 | 3 | FAST VICTORY | 1.8% | 55.48 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | AORAKI SUMMIT | 1.4% | 71.07 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 39.5
PLACE
2 15
7 26.5
14 101
QUINELLA
2,7 136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 55.5
2,14 285
7,14 421
FORECAST
2,7 242
TIERCE
2,7,14 6,580
TRIO
2,7,14 1,718
FIRST 4
1,2,7,14 9,086
QUARTET
2,7,14,1 147,063
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,7/2,7,14 310,864
5TH DOUBLE
7/2 415
7/7 108.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,7,9/2,4,7/Any Combination 32,113